Round 12 of the 2025 NRL season exposed an unusually tight title race — three teams locked at the summit with Canberra Raiders holding first place on for-and-against. The ladder tells a real story: parity at the top, chaos in the middle, and a warning sign from Penrith sitting 17th.

Season Status: Regular season ongoing · Early Leaders: Canberra Raiders, Canterbury Bulldogs, NZ Warriors · Rounds Played: Up to Round 12 · Official Source: Footy Forecaster

Quick snapshot

1Confirmed facts
  • Raiders and Bulldogs each held 9 wins heading into Round 12 (Footy Forecaster)
  • Warriors sat third with 8 wins from 11 matches (Footy Forecaster)
  • Bulldogs beat Dolphins 44-8 in Round 12 on 22 May at Accor Stadium (NRL.com)
  • Roosters defeated Sharks 42-16 in Round 12 on 24 May (Wikipedia)
2What’s unclear
  • Which of the three tied teams ultimately claims first place by season’s end
  • Whether the minor premiership winner faces an easier finals path
  • If Penrith’s mid-season position (17th) reflects a temporary slump or structural decline
3Timeline signal
  • Round 12 (22–25 May 2025) marked the midpoint data snapshot
  • Regular season runs 24 matches per team
  • Finals qualification and Grand Final dates still ahead
4What’s next
  • Rounds 13–24 will determine final top 8 positions
  • Top 4 teams secure double chance in finals series
  • The 2025 Grand Final will crown the premiership winner

The 2025 NRL season saw unusual mid-season parity, with just for-and-against separating the leading teams.

2025 NRL Ladder Standings After Round 12
Position Team Matches Played Wins Draws
1st Canberra Raiders 12 9 0
2nd Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs 11 9 0
3rd New Zealand Warriors 11 8 0
4th Melbourne Storm 10 6 0
5th Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks 12 7 0
6th South Sydney Rabbitohs 11 6 0
7th North Queensland Cowboys 10 4 1
8th Brisbane Broncos 11 5 0
17th Penrith Panthers 11 3 1

At the Round 12 midpoint, two teams were locked at nine wins each, with the Warriors close behind on eight — a concentration of early-season strength that the NRL rarely sees mid-season. The Footy Forecaster data shows Raiders leading on for-and-against, with the Bulldogs close behind.

Who is likely to be in the NRL Grand Final 2025?

Current top 4 teams

The 2025 season ultimately confirmed the Raiders as minor premiers with 19 wins from 24 matches (Sporting News). Melbourne Storm finished in the top four with 17 wins, while Canterbury Bulldogs secured the third position with 16 wins from 24 games. The final standings reflected the early-season ladder pressure: Canberra, Melbourne, and the Bulldogs consistently delivered strong performances throughout the year.

Ladder progression insights

The double chance in the finals — earned by finishing in the top four — proved decisive. Brisbane Broncos clinched their spot by defeating Melbourne Storm in the final round of the regular season (Sporting News). Cronulla Sharks, New Zealand Warriors, Penrith Panthers, and Sydney Roosters filled the remaining top eight positions, rounding out a competitive finals field.

For those tracking the path to the Grand Final, the data from the Sporting News confirms that the minor premiership carried real value — Raiders entered the finals with momentum and home-ground advantage through the opening rounds.

Bottom line: The 2025 Grand Final lineup drew directly from the season-long ladder battle. Raiders, Storm, Bulldogs, and Broncos all earned their spots through consistent performance across 24 rounds, not just late-season surges.

Who is going to win the Grand Final in 2025?

Favorites based on ladder position

Historical patterns in the NRL show that teams finishing top four typically dominate Grand Final contention. In 2025, Canberra’s strong regular season (19 wins) positioned them as clear frontrunners heading into the finals series (Sporting News). Melbourne Storm, with 17 wins, represented the most consistent challenger throughout the year. The Bulldogs’ 16 wins placed them third in the pecking order, but their mid-season form showed they could upset either of the top two.

Historical grand final trends

Sports analysts tracking NRL outcomes note that minor premiership winners convert at a high rate. Analysis from Sporting News indicates that teams with the double chance (top four finish) historically navigate the finals bracket more successfully, avoiding elimination in week one.

For readers wondering who takes the trophy, the ladder at season’s end provides the strongest predictor available. The 2025 data shows Raiders held the advantage throughout, but Storm’s resilience — particularly their ability to compete close to the top despite fewer matches played at certain points — suggests they remained dangerous opponents.

Who is the highest paid NRL player?

Top earners list

The NRL’s highest-paid player figures have been widely reported in player salary discussions. According to reports from Sporting News and other sports outlets, a Newcastle Knights player holds a contract valued at $13 million over its term. This represents one of the most lucrative deals in the league’s history.

Contract details

Nathan Cleary, representing the Panthers, has commanded significant salary figures in recent years. The Penrith halfback’s earnings have placed him among the highest-paid players in the NRL, though the specific figures vary by reporting source. Fans frequently ask about Cleary’s annual salary as a benchmark for comparing top-tier contracts.

What the salary data reveals: top-tier teams (Raiders, Storm, Bulldogs) don’t necessarily have the highest-paid rosters overall. The Raiders’ minor premiership in 2025 came through collective performance rather than superstar salaries alone. This suggests roster depth and team culture may outweigh individual wage bills when it comes to ladder positioning.

What is the most loved team in the NRL?

Fan popularity reports

Fan sentiment rankings have been tracked by various outlets, including Brandirectory analyses of team brands across the NRL. According to these metrics, certain clubs consistently rank highest in fan engagement and brand recognition, though the specific 2025 data varies by polling source.

Brand rankings

Brandirectory insights suggest the Melbourne Storm and Brisbane Broncos maintain strong brand value despite their different market sizes. The Raiders, as a smaller-market club, punch above their weight in fan loyalty relative to their commercial footprint.

Fan sentiment context

Brand rankings capture commercial appeal, but actual fan “love” varies by region and demographics. The Bulldogs’ strong ladder performance in 2025 may have shifted their sentiment rankings by season’s end.

What is the least liked NRL team?

Fan hate rankings

Reverse-sentiment data from League Unlimited and similar outlets tracks which teams generate the most negative attention. These rankings tend to correlate with team success (historically dominant clubs often attract “hate” as a proxy for rivalry intensity) as well as specific controversies or playing styles deemed unsportsmanlike.

Club perceptions

In 2025, teams mid-table or in the lower reaches of the ladder rarely attract significant anti-fan sentiment — it’s the top contenders who inspire strong reactions. The Raiders’ rise to minor premiership likely increased their “least liked” ranking among fans of rival clubs competing for the same finals positions.

What this means: “least liked” status in the NRL often reflects competitive rivalry rather than genuine dislike. Teams like Melbourne Storm, who’ve sustained success over multiple seasons, consistently appear in these rankings.

2025 NRL Season Timeline

Key moments in the 2025 NRL season
Period Event
Round 1–3 Early ladder: Raiders and Bulldogs establish early lead with 9 wins each
Round 12 Mid-season snapshot: two teams tied at top, Bulldogs beat Dolphins 44-8
Round 27 Wooden spoon battle: Titans and Knights fight to avoid last place
End of regular season Finals qualification confirmed; Raiders claim minor premiership with 19 wins
Grand Final Premiership decider

What We Know vs. What Remains Uncertain

Confirmed

  • Raiders led the ladder after Round 12 with 9 wins from 12 matches (Footy Forecaster)
  • Bulldogs finished third overall with 16 wins from 24 matches (Sporting News)
  • Melbourne Storm achieved top-four finish with 17 wins (Sporting News)
  • Bulldogs defeated Dolphins 44-8 on 22 May 2025 at Accor Stadium (NRL.com)
  • Roosters beat Sharks 42-16 on 24 May 2025 (Wikipedia)

Uncertain

  • Which specific teams will meet in the 2025 Grand Final
  • Whether the Raiders maintain their position or face late-season challenges
  • Exact fan sentiment rankings for 2025 — brand data lags behind season events
  • Future performance of rebuilding teams (Cowboys, Tigers, Eels)

What experts are saying

Analysis from Sporting News (sports outlet, NRL coverage) indicates that the 2025 season showed unusual parity at the top — three teams tied at nine wins is rare mid-season form.

Data from Footy Forecaster (NRL statistics platform, tracking match data) confirms that for-and-against differences separated the tied teams, with Raiders holding the narrowest of advantages.

The NRL.com official record shows Round 12 results as the most recent verified data point for mid-season ladder assessment.

The upshot

Mid-season ladder position proved a reliable indicator for 2025 finals qualification — Raiders, Storm, and Bulldogs all went on to finish top four.

Why this matters

Penrith’s drop to 17th place at Round 12 (with only 3 wins) proved a warning sign, even for a club that had been dominant in previous seasons.

Summary

The 2025 NRL ladder tells a story of early-season parity giving way to clear frontrunners by season’s end. Canberra Raiders’ minor premiership with 19 wins from 24 matches, confirmed by Sporting News, reflects genuine dominance rather than luck. Melbourne Storm and Canterbury Bulldogs kept pace throughout, forming a top three that separated from the pack. For fans tracking their team’s trajectory, the Round 12 snapshot proved an accurate early indicator of final standings. The implication is clear: in the NRL, consistent performance across all 24 rounds matters more than any single result, and teams like Penrith (who dropped to 17th at Round 12) serve as cautionary tales about what happens when depth fails.

Related reading: NRL Ladder

Raiders top the ladder after Round 12 with Bulldogs and Warriors close, projecting toward the final 2025 NRL ladder minor premiership.

Frequently asked questions

What is the current 2025 NRL ladder?

As of Round 12 (May 2025), the NRL ladder showed Canberra Raiders in first position, Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs second, and New Zealand Warriors third — with Raiders and Bulldogs tied on nine wins from 11-12 matches played. (Footy Forecaster)

Who leads the 2025 NRL ladder?

At the Round 12 midpoint, Canberra Raiders led the ladder on for-and-against, having played 12 matches with 9 wins. By season’s end, they claimed the minor premiership with 19 wins from 24 matches. (Sporting News)

Which teams are in the 2025 NRL top 8?

Final 2025 standings showed Raiders, Storm, Bulldogs, and Broncos in the top four (earning the double chance), with Cronulla Sharks, Warriors, Penrith Panthers, and Sydney Roosters filling positions 5-8. (Sporting News)

How does the 2025 NRL ladder compare to 2024?

The 2025 season saw significant changes from 2024, with the Canterbury Bulldogs rising to top-four status (16 wins from 24 matches) and Penrith Panthers dropping to 17th place at Round 12 — a stark contrast to their historical dominance in prior seasons.

What are the 2025 NRL ladder standings after Round 12?

Round 12 standings (22-25 May 2025) showed: Raiders (1st, 9 wins), Bulldogs (2nd, 9 wins), Warriors (3rd, 8 wins), Storm (4th, 6 wins), Sharks (5th, 7 wins), Rabbitohs (6th, 6 wins), Cowboys (7th, 4 wins + 1 draw), Broncos (8th, 5 wins). (Footy Forecaster)

Who will make the 2025 NRL finals?

Based on final regular season standings, Raiders, Storm, Bulldogs, and Broncos secured the top four positions and double chance in finals. Sharks, Warriors, Panthers, and Roosters also qualified for the top eight. (Sporting News)

Where can I find the live 2025 NRL ladder?

The official NRL ladder is available at NRL.com, with real-time updates throughout the season. Alternative trackers include Footy Forecaster for detailed statistics.